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The War in Ukraine

Glad we have all formally judged an outcome that hasn’t happened yet.
 
"To understand Europe, you have to be a genius - or French."

Madeline Albright
The European Union also isn't in the same league as the US, China, India and even Russia....

Because they have so much disunity and they are incapable of acting as a cohesive force. A stronger and more united Europe might be one positive that emerges from all of this.
 
The European Union also isn't in the same league as the US, China, India and even Russia....

Because they have so much disunity and they are incapable of acting as a cohesive force. A stronger and more united Europe might be one positive that emerges from all of this.

Modern political constructs still struggle with a 'feudal power map' that looks like this:


1739543516204.png

 
Agreed. War should be avoided at all costs. And when its begun, it needs to conducted with a brutal and violent efficiency and complete concentration of the nation.
But an awful lot of folks out there, many on the more-right-end of the spectrum, were also happy to wonder why UKR was getting all this help when it didn’t seem to be doing any good - with Trump among those keener in backing the bully instead of the bullied, and many taking their cue from that :(

Like with a lot of GOP things lately, I can see some still happy to unquestioningly follow & support the tribe, and others wonder why they didn’t do better as a team given the chance to do so.
 
But an awful lot of folks out there, many on the more-right-end of the spectrum, were also happy to wonder why UKR was getting all this help when it didn’t seem to be doing any good - with Trump among those keener in backing the bully instead of the bullied, and many taking their cue from that :(

Like with a lot of GOP things lately, I can see some still happy to unquestioningly follow & support the tribe, and others wonder why they didn’t do better as a team given the chance to do so.

Those who call for war need to the first in line with a rifle and helmet. And if not them then their children and grandchildren.
 
But an awful lot of folks out there, many on the more-right-end of the spectrum, were also happy to wonder why UKR was getting all this help when it didn’t seem to be doing any good - with Trump among those keener in backing the bully instead of the bullied, and many taking their cue from that :(

Like with a lot of GOP things lately, I can see some still happy to unquestioningly follow & support the tribe, and others wonder why they didn’t do better as a team given the chance to do so.
Well one surprise was that Vance did a semi decent job of walking back the damage that PH and DJT did.
 
But an awful lot of folks out there, many on the more-right-end of the spectrum, were also happy to wonder why UKR was getting all this help when it didn’t seem to be doing any good - with Trump among those keener in backing the bully instead of the bullied, and many taking their cue from that :(

Like with a lot of GOP things lately, I can see some still happy to unquestioningly follow & support the tribe, and others wonder why they didn’t do better as a team given the chance to do so.
Wrong. Trump just wants the US$ secured. Europe secured its support to Ukr through loan guarantees. The US did no such thing, until now as Trump negotiates security in the form of resources.
 
Wrong. Trump just wants the US$ secured. Europe secured its support to Ukr through loan guarantees. The US did no such thing, until now as Trump negotiates security in the form of resources.
True to a point, not all of the EU support was tied to guarantees. The way DJT publicly presented it looks very poor to an external audience, but he’s acting to his base, and a lot of his actions need to be viewed from the lens of who is acting to.
 
Well one surprise was that Vance did a semi decent job of walking back the damage that PH and DJT did.
Some days, that's a low bar, though. :) We'll see how it all ends up, although I'm not optimistic for Team Blue & Yellow.

Meanwhile, I'd be careful in UKR about sharing too many whiteboards these days ....
 
True to a point, not all of the EU support was tied to guarantees. The way DJT publicly presented it looks very poor to an external audience, but he’s acting to his base, and a lot of his actions need to be viewed from the lens of who is acting to.
Can we agree at least on the fact DJT communicates with a hammer and his back office follows up with the scalpel later?
 
We are back to the pre-1914 era of Great Power competition. This is a signal to Europe that the United States isn't going to pay for European Security any longer.
And we see how well that went for both Europe AND the "stay out of this one" U.S.

Meanwhile, "Negotiating" Team USSR 2.0 shakes out - highlights mine (via RUS independent media) ....
1739548500896.png

Late add to include: UKR wants format sorted before sitting down with RUS (we'll see if RUS's ok with ever sitting down with UKR) ....
... while the BBC sums up some of the more-recent rolling back
Screenshot 2025-02-14 111332.jpg
 
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And we see how well that went for both Europe AND the "stay out of this one" U.S.

Meanwhile, "Negotiating" Team USSR 2.0 shakes out - highlights mine (via RUS independent media) ....
View attachment 91297

Late add to include: UKR wants format sorted before sitting down with RUS (we'll see if RUS's ok with ever sitting down with UKR) ....
... while the BBC sums up some of the more-recent rolling back
View attachment 91298

…ah, so UKR has a/some radiological device(s)…

Hence the hasty Russian “Ukraine won’t sit with us when we discuss them” back-track…
1739553338039.gif
 
…ah, so UKR has a/some radiological device(s)…
If you mean Chernobyl, it's occupied by RUS troops, where RUS says UKR is endangering by shooting at it, and UKR says RUS says vice versa :)

If you mean .... more kinetic radiology, well, who's to say what various ISR or former South African physicists have been up to? ;) Certainly been talked about ...
Hence the hasty Russian “Ukraine won’t sit with us when we discuss them” back-track…
View attachment 91299
Still early days, and I'm betting on RUS being able to finagle more than just a "DEAL deal". After all, RUS also said they wouldn't attack UKR once they got rid of their nukes, too. Time will tell, but my loonie's going on the "UKR's screwed" square for now - glad to be wrong, though.

Meanwhile, some initial UKR media post-Munich meeting:

And finally, prepare for the "UKR using chemical weapons" narrative from USSR 2.0.
 
If you mean Chernobyl, it's occupied by RUS troops, where RUS says UKR is endangering by shooting at it, and UKR says RUS says vice versa :)

If you mean .... more kinetic radiology, well, who's to say what various ISR or former South African physicists have been up to? ;) Certainly been talked about ...

Still early days, and I'm betting on RUS being able to finagle more than just a "DEAL deal". After all, RUS also said they wouldn't attack UKR once they got rid of their nukes, too. Time will tell, but my loonie's going on the "UKR's screwed" square for now - glad to be wrong, though.

Meanwhile, some initial UKR media post-Munich meeting:

And finally, prepare for the "UKR using chemical weapons" narrative from USSR 2.0.
I'm starting to wonder if having nuclear weapons should be an option for us.....if the 'New World Order' is being burned to the ground by Trump and its back to pre-1914, then we (Canada) need to pivot, get our head out of our ass and learn to think long-term strategically.
 
I'm starting to wonder if having nuclear weapons should be an option for us.....if the 'New World Order' is being burned to the ground by Trump and its back to pre-1914, then we (Canada) need to pivot, get our head out of our ass and learn to think long-term strategically.
i think thats a bit of an overreaction to our situation but if I was Poland, SK, Japan, Taiwan, Ukraine Id be getting on it
 
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