• Thanks for stopping by. Logging in to a registered account will remove all generic ads. Please reach out with any questions or concerns.

CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

I get that you don’t particularly like Carney but his credentials are somewhat more extensive that just being an investment banker.

What is Harper currently doing other than heading his own consulting company and being employed by the CPC fundraiser machine? Not trying to knock him or anything but his CV post PM is thinner than his pre PM career.

And remember that Harper named Carney Governor of the BoC for reasons that went beyond being a simple investment banker.
Harper has a Masters in Economics and Carney has a PhD as well as working as an economist. Its a strange comparison to make
 
So, the thinnest of hairs of movement on (at least some kind of) pipelines?


Some additional thoughts on pipelines and getting indigenous buy in should the government change.

East bound.


The NeeStaNan Utility Corridor Project will be led by First Nations. Prairie commodities such as potash, natural gas, wheat, and bitumen are landlocked in Western Canada. Current methods of transporting these resources are costly and inefficient, involving transporting resources via rail or pipelines to the west through the Rocky Mountains to reach international markets.

The NeeStaNan Utility Corridor will provide rail transportation for Potash to be shipped out of Port Nelson, Manitoba. Currently, potash is being railed to Port Moody, Vancouver. This is a longer more difficult route with mountains and a crowded port to contend with. NeeStaNan Utility Corridor will create opportunities by reducing rail by over “630 km” and shipping route by “3800 km”.

The NeestaNan Corridor would reduce the distance by over 4400 km - making it over 30% shorter.

New railway capacity
Connecting Canada’s agricultural products and minerals to international markets.

New international trade routes for Canada’s commodities.

This would be in addition to the Churchill route.



Money is being invested in reaching Hudson's Bay with the support of local and indigenous governments.

...

West bound

Just a reminder that there was indigenous support on getting pipelines to Prince Rupert AND floating tankers in Prince Rupert harbour.


...

All that is necessary is for Guilbeault to get out of the way.
 
Some additional thoughts on pipelines and getting indigenous buy in should the government change.

East bound.




This would be in addition to the Churchill route.



Money is being invested in reaching Hudson's Bay with the support of local and indigenous governments.

...

West bound

Just a reminder that there was indigenous support on getting pipelines to Prince Rupert AND floating tankers in Prince Rupert harbour.


...

All that is necessary is for Guilbeault to get out of the way.

While we're slashing bush, spanning water and laying rail, would it be feasible and financially profitable to lay a pipeline next to it at the same time? One corridor all construction done at the same time, with co-operation of the rail and pipeline sharing costs. Efficient, economical and profitable for all.
 
While we're slashing bush, spanning water and laying rail, would it be feasible and financially profitable to lay a pipeline next to it at the same time? One corridor all construction done at the same time, with co-operation of the rail and pipeline sharing costs. Efficient, economical and profitable for all.

My sense is that is exactly what the "corridor" proponents are suggesting. Rail, road, power and pipelines in one slash.
 
While we're slashing bush, spanning water and laying rail, would it be feasible and financially profitable to lay a pipeline next to it at the same time? One corridor all construction done at the same time, with co-operation of the rail and pipeline sharing costs. Efficient, economical and profitable for all.
It's also less lands involved (important to some First Nations), better overall access (3 projects = better road than 3 temporary access points), and allows for the response god forbid anything goes wrong. When all the routes go different directions its much tougher to respond to a break/derailment etc.

Now sites like staging areas are built once (not three times) and you can also plan for things like key crossings over the infrastructure in advance reducing costs. Major pipelines like TransMountain or railways are not infrastructure you just randomly drive heavy equipment over in an emergency.
 
It's also less lands involved (important to some First Nations), better overall access (3 projects = better road than 3 temporary access points), and allows for the response god forbid anything goes wrong. When all the routes go different directions its much tougher to respond to a break/derailment etc.

Now sites like staging areas are built once (not three times) and you can also plan for things like key crossings over the infrastructure in advance reducing costs. Major pipelines like TransMountain or railways are not infrastructure you just randomly drive heavy equipment over in an emergency.
So a single railway/highway/pipeline/power line/fibre optic cable corridor all built at once? Love it!
 
So a single railway/highway/pipeline/power line/fibre optic cable corridor all built at once? Love it!
From a security perspective it would be able to knock it all out at once though…

But it is a good idea
 
So a single railway/highway/pipeline/power line/fibre optic cable corridor all built at once? Love it!
I could easily picture a rough road to allow route clearance. Start building a railway to allow for large scale shipments and add in the spurs/bypasses to create the laydown yards/staging areas/work camps needed.

As the rail moves forward start building the road beside it. Place power lines on one side (downwind) and pipeline on the other. Fiber optic can be run under power lines/ditches easy.

You can adjust the order slightly but it has to be easier than other projects flying in every power pole or trucking 1,000's of km of product to create fill/end dumps. And if you're working off a port you might be able to start from both sides at once speeding things up as well.

I don't really know northern Manitoba but I have to think a permanent all season road in close proximity is a huge economic uplift for any local community. No longer trapped by seasonal access things like medical appointments - even if it's Winnipeg - are doable without involving charter flights. Cost of buying a truck load of groceries vs. air freight at the northern store?
 
And Quebec might even be happy for a change given the material and manpower they could get from a project this size.
 
We could cut costs and time by building it in sections all at the same time and then just link them. Thousands of jobs. Work for lots of engineering firms, surveyors, constructors, material suppliers, lumber, etc.

We could be using vast amounts of our own metals, chemicals and other resources. Imagine the O&G that would be used. New industry to supply the vehicles and equipment. No doubt we'll have a healthy R&D initiatives spinoff. Airlines moving workers, similar to oil patch workers. There are so many more things that can come out of a project like this besides the initial intent.

Think of Roosevelt's Works Progress Administration and the New Deal.

Ahh, the dreams.
 
We could cut costs and time by building it in sections all at the same time and then just link them. Thousands of jobs. Work for lots of engineering firms, surveyors, constructors, material suppliers, lumber, etc.

We could be using vast amounts of our own metals, chemicals and other resources. Imagine the O&G that would be used. New industry to supply the vehicles and equipment. No doubt we'll have a healthy R&D initiatives spinoff. Airlines moving workers, similar to oil patch workers. There are so many more things that can come out of a project like this besides the initial intent.

Think of Roosevelt's Works Progress Administration and the New Deal.

Ahh, the dreams.

Who pays? Without significant regulatory reform, we won't get capital investment back. Which, again, goes against the LPC/NDP grain.
 
Who cares what the red and orange liberals think.

How about we put a $1 surcharge (or whatever) on everything we export.

I think the returns, once it's up and running, will put a big hole in the debt created.

There0 user fees. No more foreign oil at world prices, LNG to Europe, potash, aluminum, nickel and titanium to world defence contractors.

The whole idea of the corridor is to make our currently unattainable products available to the world.

You know who I can see it hurting? The Laurentien Elites who have stymied our production, sale and trade to expand their own foreign oil stock and shares as well as their other off shore investments on the backs of Canadians.
 
We could cut costs and time by building it in sections all at the same time and then just link them. Thousands of jobs. Work for lots of engineering firms, surveyors, constructors, material suppliers, lumber, etc.

We could be using vast amounts of our own metals, chemicals and other resources. Imagine the O&G that would be used. New industry to supply the vehicles and equipment. No doubt we'll have a healthy R&D initiatives spinoff. Airlines moving workers, similar to oil patch workers. There are so many more things that can come out of a project like this besides the initial intent.

Think of Roosevelt's Works Progress Administration and the New Deal.

Ahh, the dreams.
So being quite intimate with the joys of living in oil and gas boom towns....and crashes...I would also caution against "rushed" work.

It's great to be able to mobilize 2-5,000 men to work on a job...but if it's only going to 9 months or seasonal work it's tough to build any sort of community out of it. Instead now you have a wave of folks overloading local resources and both short and long term social issues.

When I look on Google maps it appears there is road from Thompson to Sundance/ Fox Lake Cree Nation on the north side of the Nelson River...just upstream of Port Nelson itself. It's also where the railway seems to split off to connect a bunch of communities? stops? reserves? towards the north and Churchill and to the south towards The Pas. So there's actually more there than I had figured....quality of infrastructure to be determined.

Now I've also heard...and I don't work railways to be certain...that the old Churchill line was badly built resulting in limited weight limits and car sizes. So it's not so much as fix the line up as rebuild whole segments. Not honestly sure which would be cheaper...just know it's a high price tag. But building a pipeline(s)? beside the road should be a relatively easy task and there may be the opportunity to create several trained crews, working out of the local communities towards each direction...over a series of smaller project segments to reduce the boom impacts.

Looking at the imagery though I'm also thinking what a crappy job it would be and it better be a damn good paycheck.

There's also the James Bay Road that goes north to Radisson, Quebec (east of Fort George on the east side of the bay ) that at least has some preliminary access. No idea what the bay or shipping options look like but actually impressed at how many roads are in northern Quebec.
 
Hey, I'm the Idea guy! Not the Plan or Execute guy! 😉😂

For lots of the length, there probably won't be local resources. What about ATCO camps? Same rules as the oil patch. Booze, drugs, gambling. Cede the camps to CP Rail and let their cops patrol them?
 
Who cares what the red and orange liberals think.

How about we put a $1 surcharge (or whatever) on everything we export.
Alberta will separate and declare war on Canada. They’ve been very clear on their position on export taxes.
 
Alberta will separate and declare war on Canada. They’ve been very clear on their position on export taxes.

That's their current position with their landlocked, we can only sell to the US for peanuts, products.

The whole thing is basically designed to expand Alberta's profits and exports. Make their O&G readily available to both (three?) coasts and allowing them to compete on the world market.

If they balk at this reasoning, it sounds a little short sighted on their part, to me.

I'm sure we could work something out.
 
Alberta will separate and declare war on Canada. They’ve been very clear on their position on export taxes.

As opposed to Canada declaring economic war on Alberta?

Trudeau 1 wanted to lock our oil and gas into the Canadian market to subsidize the East when the international market was offering the prospect of significant revenues. As is regularly pointed out fossil fuels are not renewable so it is best to sell when the market is high.

Trudeau 2 has locked our oil and gas out of the international market.

In both cases any revenues entailed to Alberta were effectively treated as windfall revenues that Alberta was required to share with the rest of Canada.

What is Alberta's share of Hydro revenues from BC, Manitoba, Ontario and Quebec? I would add in Newfoundland but they have a raw enough deal as it stands.

...

There is a reasonable argument to be had for equitable sharing but we always seem to end up talking past each other.

....

1739494562747.png1739494684311.png1739494928313.png1739494754326.png1739494895100.png

....

We've been here before.
 
As opposed to Canada declaring economic war on Alberta?

Trudeau 1 wanted to lock our oil and gas into the Canadian market to subsidize the East when the international market was offering the prospect of significant revenues. As is regularly pointed out fossil fuels are not renewable so it is best to sell when the market is high.

Trudeau 2 has locked our oil and gas out of the international market.

In both cases any revenues entailed to Alberta were effectively treated as windfall revenues that Alberta was required to share with the rest of Canada.

What is Alberta's share of Hydro revenues from BC, Manitoba, Ontario and Quebec? I would add in Newfoundland but they have a raw enough deal as it stands.

...

There is a reasonable argument to be had for equitable sharing but we always seem to end up talking past each other.

....

View attachment 91283View attachment 91284View attachment 91287View attachment 91285View attachment 91286

....

We've been here before.
All Very nice and all. Back to the question posed by FB.

Will Alberta accept export taxes yes or no? That was what FB proposed. If the answer is yes then it can work if the answer in no then it would be a min starter no? I’m leaning that they will go with no.
 
Back
Top