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Have the trains started running?
Taylor's argument was a variant of the Domino Theory. Once one nation started then the others couldn't not and war became inevitable.
The War in Ukraine
- Thread starter Bruce Monkhouse
- Start date
Have the trains started running?
Taylor's argument was a variant of the Domino Theory. Once one nation started then the others couldn't not and war became inevitable.
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If I were a Russian oligarch, I'd only live in ranch style estates.
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In Montana…
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I’m thinking the defection to the West is likely the safest option at this point, and then living in a ranch style home with a lot of security and never drinking any tea.
daftandbarmy
Army.ca Fossil
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A mate of mine in the UK owns a a huge estate, not too far from Heathrow in the countryside, right next to a gigantic, and ugly, Russian style palace on an equivalently large estate - owned by an oligarch type.
The Russians killed him in the UK, so being located in the West doesn't seem to be too helpful these days
Eaglelord17
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Trotsky lived in a fortified compound in Mexico city, didn’t do him much good
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A mate of mine in the UK owns a a huge estate, not too far from Heathrow in the countryside, right next to a gigantic, and ugly, Russian style palace on an equivalently large estate - owned by an oligarch type.
The Russians killed him in the UK, so being located in the West doesn't seem to be too helpful these days
I did note Security. Which I think a Mechanized Brigade should suffice for outer cordon with a Coy of SOF for interior.
I mean it’s just Russia, it’s not like Israel is coming for them
Colin Parkinson
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Meanwhile also in Russia
Unknown persons smashed a helicopter parts manufacturing plant in St. Petersburg.
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 17, 2024
On the night of October 14, six masked men climbed onto the plant's premises on Kingiseppskoe Shosse. They were armed with axes and hammers. According to workers who were in the plant at the time,…
Colin Parkinson
Army.ca Relic
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From Don's Weekly, 21 October 2024: Part 3
In February 2024, Russia had 1,130 MRL’s in Ukraine. At least 426 have been visually confirmed as destroyed. The Kiel Institute believes Russia is producing 13 systems a month and that 80% of those produced are refurbished from storage. Jompy believes they are producing more. Most of the stored systems are gone but they have been pulled not just to replace losses but to expand the number of systems in use.
In 2022, Russia was producing 250,000 152 mm rocket rounds and 33,000 122 mm rocket rounds a year. They are expected to build 1,325,000 152 mm rounds and 800,000 122 mm rounds in 2024. This may seem like a lot of ammo but if just 200 systems fire a complete salvo of 40 rockets a day, they would consume almost 3 million rounds. One of the reasons why Russian may not be producing more MRLS is that they have plenty on hand for the quantities of ammo they are producing. At this point ammo is the limiting factor, not vehicles.
In February 2024, Russia had 1,130 MRL’s in Ukraine. At least 426 have been visually confirmed as destroyed. The Kiel Institute believes Russia is producing 13 systems a month and that 80% of those produced are refurbished from storage. Jompy believes they are producing more. Most of the stored systems are gone but they have been pulled not just to replace losses but to expand the number of systems in use.
In 2022, Russia was producing 250,000 152 mm rocket rounds and 33,000 122 mm rocket rounds a year. They are expected to build 1,325,000 152 mm rounds and 800,000 122 mm rounds in 2024. This may seem like a lot of ammo but if just 200 systems fire a complete salvo of 40 rockets a day, they would consume almost 3 million rounds. One of the reasons why Russian may not be producing more MRLS is that they have plenty on hand for the quantities of ammo they are producing. At this point ammo is the limiting factor, not vehicles.
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Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland planning for the long war and the positional fight.
breakingdefense.com
600 bunkers amongst them. 35m2 (400 sq ft) for a section of 10. Siting in advance but construction delayed to conform to the threat with the intention of channeling the threat.
Estonia carries out bunker prototype tests for envisioned Baltic defense line - Breaking Defense
"We just used the explosives on the bunkers in specific areas, at different ranges, at different points," Magnus Saar, Estonia’s national armaments director, told Breaking Defense. "So let's say 'functional testing' as opposed to imitating battlefield conditions."
breakingdefense.com
600 bunkers amongst them. 35m2 (400 sq ft) for a section of 10. Siting in advance but construction delayed to conform to the threat with the intention of channeling the threat.
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Rockets are becoming more popular it seems.
breakingdefense.com
....
Just a reminder that the Brits not only decided to keep their M271s but scrounged some more and decided to increase their planned inventory
armyrecognition.com
ukdefencejournal.org.uk
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Gun alternative, bomber alternative, drone alternative, one way attack uncrewed aerial vehicle alternative, loitering attack munition alternative, all of the above.
...
In addition to the rockets though, the Brits may be buying 200 to 250 Boxer RCH155s
www.army-technology.com
armyrecognition.com
...
250 Guns and 85 MRLs seems like a lot of fire power for an army of 75,000 and 2 or 3 divisions.
The article notes that this order has been delayed prompting the Estonians to look farther afield for supplementary systems.
Estonia mulls additional HIMARS buy, while talking with Lockheed competitors - Breaking Defense
“If the delivery times were long, we may need to substitute HIMARS munitions for something else, that’s available faster," said Magnus Saar, Estonia’s national armaments director.
breakingdefense.com
....
Just a reminder that the Brits not only decided to keep their M271s but scrounged some more and decided to increase their planned inventory
British Army to Double Its Fleet of M270 MLRS by 2029
British Army to Double Its Fleet of M270 MLRS by 2029
armyrecognition.com
Britain confirms plans to double rocket artillery fleet
The Ministry of Defence has confirmed plans to upgrade and expand its Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS) fleet to 85 vehicles from around 40.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk
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Gun alternative, bomber alternative, drone alternative, one way attack uncrewed aerial vehicle alternative, loitering attack munition alternative, all of the above.
...
In addition to the rockets though, the Brits may be buying 200 to 250 Boxer RCH155s
Is the British Army set to acquire 200 RCH 155 artillery systems? - Army Technology
A KNDS statement said the UK-German RCH 155 programme could be for up to 400 RCH 155 self-propelled artillery systems.
www.army-technology.com
United Kingdom Accelerates Artillery Programme to Acquire German RCH 1
{loadposition bannertop} Breaking news {loadposition sidebarpub}
armyrecognition.com
...
250 Guns and 85 MRLs seems like a lot of fire power for an army of 75,000 and 2 or 3 divisions.
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The avalanche has already started. It is too late for the pebbles to vote.
Czech_pivo
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Best line of 2024 in my opinion - Russa - 'It's a gas station with a nuclear bomb.'
Czech_pivo
Army.ca Veteran
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Its almost like they are preparing for something.Rockets are becoming more popular it seems.
The article notes that this order has been delayed prompting the Estonians to look farther afield for supplementary systems.
Estonia mulls additional HIMARS buy, while talking with Lockheed competitors - Breaking Defense
“If the delivery times were long, we may need to substitute HIMARS munitions for something else, that’s available faster," said Magnus Saar, Estonia’s national armaments director.
....
Just a reminder that the Brits not only decided to keep their M271s but scrounged some more and decided to increase their planned inventory
British Army to Double Its Fleet of M270 MLRS by 2029
British Army to Double Its Fleet of M270 MLRS by 2029
Britain confirms plans to double rocket artillery fleet
The Ministry of Defence has confirmed plans to upgrade and expand its Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS) fleet to 85 vehicles from around 40.
-
Gun alternative, bomber alternative, drone alternative, one way attack uncrewed aerial vehicle alternative, loitering attack munition alternative, all of the above.
...
In addition to the rockets though, the Brits may be buying 200 to 250 Boxer RCH155s
Is the British Army set to acquire 200 RCH 155 artillery systems? - Army Technology
A KNDS statement said the UK-German RCH 155 programme could be for up to 400 RCH 155 self-propelled artillery systems.
United Kingdom Accelerates Artillery Programme to Acquire German RCH 1
{loadposition bannertop} Breaking news {loadposition sidebarpub}
...
250 Guns and 85 MRLs seems like a lot of fire power for an army of 75,000 and 2 or 3 divisions.
and sooner rather than later. Sad contrast
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Good thread from Tatarigami on outlook of the war.
Ukraine is likely approaching the final stages of the active phase of the war. I suggest taking a look at my assessment, which draws on General Budanov’s overlooked speech at the Yalta Conference, along with insights from other reports and assessments
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) October 22, 2024
🧵Thread: pic.twitter.com/DkSZceMUbD
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Well, another unexpected mystery tile on the Bingo has been revealed. I'm guessing the Russian Army may have some retention issues if this becomes well established and well known.
France just broke a crucial barrier for Russian deserters.
— Mikhail Khodorkovsky (@khodorkovsky_en) October 22, 2024
For the first time ever, an EU country has welcomed soldiers without papers - and it could change everything about Putin's war.
🧵Here's why this matters: pic.twitter.com/bW2T73x11p
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While not the biggest fan of the SecDef, he nails it here.
“If Ukraine falls under putin’s boot, all of Europe will fall under putin’s shadow.”- U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin.
— Yasmina (@yasminalombaert) October 22, 2024
“The United States does not seek war with Russia. And even as Putin makes profoundly reckless and dangerous threats about nuclear war, we will continue… pic.twitter.com/BrW3GnfjEA
Retired AF Guy
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During the Cold War it was, " A Third World country with Nukes."
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