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The War in Ukraine

Kirkhill said:
The OED is a record of all the words of the English language. It gets updated every year. My privilege to compete for addition to next year's edition. :giggle:
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Ummm….that word is already ‘in it.’
 
MilEME09 said:
If this is accurate, russia might be boned in kursk

https://twitter.com/x/status/1821985426611277923
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Let’s be real- Ukraine is operating in a small portion of Kursk oblast, and are able to fire into a somewhat larger but still modest portion of it. This is an incremental positive development in the war, but they’re a long way from cementing anything major. That will be some time yet if that’s in fact their objective.
 
brihard said:
Let’s be real- Ukraine is operating in a small portion of Kursk oblast, and are able to fire into a somewhat larger but still modest portion of it. This is an incremental positive development in the war, but they’re a long way from cementing anything major. That will be some time yet if that’s in fact their objective.
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Unreported because everyone was so focused on Kursk, the Russians further advanced in the Donbass and have pushed out of Vesele, captured Niu York and are moving on Toretsk and Ugledar.

Operations in the Donbass of the Russian Army appear unimpeded by this move.

As well, reports that the frontline in Kursk has started to stabilize as Russian Reserves and Special Forces from the FSB, National Guard, etc pour in to the AO.

Russia is such a big Country, geographically, that it can absorb huge losses of land and it matters not... Battle of Borodino being a great example of this, as well as numerous instances in the second World War. Another example is the Battle of the Bulge. The Wehrmacht Made a significant penetration but nobody on the Allied side would say they were going to lose because they merely absorbed the force and due to significant advantages in human and material resources, rolled them up.

1723235016986.png

What makes the most sense to me was Ukraine was hoping to make a lightning rush on some key Russian infrastructure in the area, secure it, fortify it and use it as a bargaining chip.
 
brihard said:
Let’s be real- Ukraine is operating in a small portion of Kursk oblast, and are able to fire into a somewhat larger but still modest portion of it. This is an incremental positive development in the war, but they’re a long way from cementing anything major. That will be some time yet if that’s in fact their objective.
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A lot depends on how hard and how publicly the US wants to step on Ukraine directly - or indirectly by standing firm on ATACMS and mobile GBAD limitations (they have already lost a Buk that was part of the initial breech). And how closely the rest of NATO is willing to toe the US line (and what favors they want from the US in return in the future).

Which in turn is dependant on how Snake Sullivan (and some of the rest of the NSA) perceive their influence now / future employment - given the change in the political situation at home.

NATO is broken and penetrated (which is why they were caught unaware of UA plans) and the vaunted article 5 has been proven by Putin's provocations to be more myth than reality. The EU mutual defense clause is far stronger - but also suffers from the same penetration and constraints caused by 100% consensus -vs- 90% or some other supermajority.
 
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Skysix said:
A lot depends on how hard and how publicly the US wants to step on Ukraine directly - or indirectly by standing firm on ATACMS and mobile GBAD limitations (they have already lost a Buk that was part of the initial breech). And how closely the rest of NATO is willing to toe the US line (and what favors they want from the US in return in the future).

Which in turn is dependant on how Snake Sullivan (and some of the rest of the NSA) perceive their influence now / future employment - given the change in the political situation at home.

NATO is broken and penetrated (which is why they were caught unaware of UA plans) and the vaunted article 5 has been proven by Putin's provocations to be more myth than reality. The EU mutual defense clause is far stronger - but also suffers from the same penetration and constraints caused by 100% consensus -vs- 90% or some other supermajority.
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Again today the WH announced it’s up to the Ukrainians to determine how their fight their war against an invader.

Clearly we are allowing/ignoring the use of US provided systems in Russia to hit targets in Russia as we just sent a bunch more stuff today. Including 155mm Scatterable Mines.
 
Meanwhile, USSR 2.0 is "reducing" staff at the Kursk NPP according to state media (archived link here)
1723282843555.png
 
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