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Liberal Minority Government 2021 - ????

Potential problems with the LPC-NDP alliance.

The NDP are frustrated with their low polling numbers in comparison to the CPC.

The current NDP leader is not resonating with Canadian votes. IMO, Mr. Singh is not relatable to common Canadians with his expensive suits, Rolex watch which is perceived as in congruent with a socialist belief - perhaps I'm dating myself here and I'm wrong.


The NDP has spent nearly 17 months helping keep the minority Liberal government in power under a confidence-and-supply agreement.

Some NDP want a harder line in dealing with the LPC as they (NDP) were not given credit for the dental-care benefits for children in low-income households, one-time rental supplements for low-income tenants and a temporary doubling of the GST rebate, which were NDP priorities.

An emergency resolution that's been given top priority on Saturday calls for the party to pull out of the confidence-and-supply deal unless the Liberals commit to a universal and entirely public pharmacare program.

The next few months will be interesting given the following:

International
a. UKRAINE - RUSSIA war.
b. ISRAEL- HAMAS (PALESTINE) war.
c. CHINA - TAIWAN dispute
d. on-going global humanitarian crisis

Domestic
  • cost of living crisis, affordable housing
  • carbon tax / climate change policies
  • immigration
  • threat of economic recession (due to world instability)
  • growing internal domestic terrorism (threats against Jews, threats against Muslims, right wing groups, wokeism)

Can the NDP be an effective and cre3dible leader in Canada and the world stage?

If the NDP pulls the rug from the LPC:
  • can the CPC form a gov't?
  • can the NDP form a gov't?

If a federal election is called:
  • can the CPC / LPC / NPC win a majority gov't?
  • if the CPC / LPC / NDP wins a minority gov't how long can it last?
  • will CANADA see a repeat of successive minority gov'ts, 2004 2011 in the next decade or so?

I cannot see the NDP winning enough seats to form either a majority or minority gov't in the foreseeable future unless something dramatic happens in which we see a political transformation in either the Canadian public or the NDP itself.
I thought I saw something about Singh's leadership also coming up for review?
 
They never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity.

They could have supplanted the Liberals as the main centre-left party in Canada. Instead, all the leaders including Layton, Mulcair and Singh, attack the Tories. By doing so, their supporters fear the Tories more than the Liberals and the Liberals convince them they are better suited to defeat the Tories than the NDP. The NDP should be attacking the Liberals from the left.
 
They could have supplanted the Liberals as the main centre-left party in Canada. Instead, all the leaders including Layton, Mulcair and Singh, attack the Tories.
Layton knew what he was doing. Had he lived a bit longer, he might have succeeded in further squeezing the Liberals. Mulcair was the one that threw it away, the instant he started making statements supporting "ABC" voting. "ABC" in most cases meant a vote for LPC, not NDP. "Job One" for the NDP at that critical point in time was keeping pressure on the Liberals, not worrying about another CPC term in parliament.
 
I would also suggest that Mulcair went moderate left too soon. That allowed Trudeau to go further left than the NDP and eat Mulcair’s lunch.

“ABC” was a dumb move for the NDP. They should have been saying only they can take on the Tories as a “principled progressive alternative” to the morally compromised Liberal Party.

But what do I know.
 
Met a 30's fellow and his wife from South Carolina in Amsterdam airport yesterday. They both said when are you going to get rid of the fool Trudeau.
 
PBO predicting large deficit this year ($46.5B).

Cost of NDP's proposed pharmacare program somewhere north of $10B per year.

Top. Men.
Trudeau just kicked his $5B albatross of an "assault style firearms" Compensated Confiscation (TM) scheme out past the next election date by extending the amnesty to October 30, 2025.
 
Trudeau just kicked his $5B albatross of an "assault style firearms" Compensated Confiscation (TM) scheme out past the next election date by extending the amnesty to October 30, 2025.
Arguing against a right to self-defence may be problematic these days.
 
I'm trying not to get too excited... But it's hard to contain lol I really wish Jagmeet would collapse this Gov.
Why do you think the NDP are being vocal about insisting on a universal public pharmacare plan right at this moment? They know they have the LPC between a rock and- well, an election. One where they’re likely to get trounced.

Curious to see if the LPC give in to the NDP demands for pharmacare (which might actually be a pretty good piece of healthcare policy), or throw their hands in the air, say to hell with it, and let a writ drop?
 
Why do you think the NDP are being vocal about insisting on a universal public pharmacare plan right at this moment? They know they have the LPC between a rock and- well, an election. One where they’re likely to get trounced.

Curious to see if the LPC give in to the NDP demands for pharmacare (which might actually be a pretty good piece of healthcare policy), or throw their hands in the air, say to hell with it, and let a writ drop?

Like I said I wish Jagmeet would collapse this Gov...
 
Curious to see if the LPC give in to the NDP demands for pharmacare (which might actually be a pretty good piece of healthcare policy), or throw their hands in the air, say to hell with it, and let a writ drop?
The NDP had better start returning all their empties and rolling their quarters if they plan to force an election.

Universal pharmacare would be a good thing, but, the price tag will be enormous. Like the gun plan, maybe this is another big ticket item that JT can kick down the road ("we promised we will, and we will keep our promise, as long as you re-elect us!").
 
The NDP had better start returning all their empties and rolling their quarters if they plan to force an election.

Universal pharmacare would be a good thing, but, the price tag will be enormous. Like the gun plan, maybe this is another big ticket item that JT can kick down the road ("we promised we will, and we will keep our promise, as long as you re-elect us!").

Agreed.
 
Arguing against a right to self-defence may be problematic these days.
The right to self defence exists in Canadian law (CCC s 34).The force used for defence must be "reasonable".

Our current gun laws make it impractical to use a firearm to defend against a spontaneous or otherwise surprise assault (mugging, home invasion), given the safe storage requirements, especially for handguns, and a practical "ban" on concealed carry for personal protection from humans. (I do not advocate for civilian concealed carry, BTW, with some very rare exceptions.)

Remember, too, that former PS Minister Blair stated "Canadians do not arm themselves for protection against their fellow citizens. We rely on the rule of law.", which sets the tone for how firearms use in self defence will be viewed by this government.
 
Here's one take that I tend to generally agree with.


Most of us remember seeing barren lumber yards at the height of Covid. Prices have indeed come down but I doubt we will see a return to pre-Covid prices, nor should we probably expect to. Existing mills still have elevated input costs such as fuel and financing. The mills that idled can come back; the mills that closed and were torn down are harder to replicate. I don't know if they face labour shortages like other industries; mills tend to be in one-industry or at least primary industry towns.
The occasional US lumber tariffs will also kick the hell out of mills, a few of the bigger ones consolidated or shut down the last round, and that also trickled down through the distribution of it, with a lot of temporary layoffs. The same thing happened around 2000 (I go laid off at the time a day after they came into effect).

There isn't a lot of oversupply though in general, so with COVID in general the combination of mills temporarily shutting down, disruption to the supply chains, drivers etc meant that the normal steady trickle of resupply was disrupted, so you had a lot of empty shelves. Combined with people shut in at home doing more renos it was a good practical demonstration of how little resiliency the 'just in time' model has.
 
Why do you think the NDP are being vocal about insisting on a universal public pharmacare plan right at this moment? They know they have the LPC between a rock and- well, an election. One where they’re likely to get trounced.

Curious to see if the LPC give in to the NDP demands for pharmacare (which might actually be a pretty good piece of healthcare policy), or throw their hands in the air, say to hell with it, and let a writ drop?
It isn’t a coincidence that the LPC gvt is looking to claw back and find 15 Billion from from the federal coffers across the board. Pretty much the cost of getting Pharmacare off the ground and running. They already found 1 Billion at DND so far.
 
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