2024 BC Election

[RangerRay]

This polling probably explains BC United’s demise.

https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/download/mainstreet-bc-poll-august-2024-public/?wpdmdl=8504&refresh=66ceda32c88da1724832306

Decides voters:
BCCP - 39%
NDP - 36%
BCU - 12%
Greens - 11%

BC United managed implode with a (sort of) name brand and a former high-profile cabinet minister, whereas the BC Conservatives became a muster point for cranks and conspiracy theorists. I guess the province is going back to its Amor de Cosmos days!

 

[OldSolduer]

Yippy kay yay, Mr. Falcon.

Wasn't that "Yippy ky yay Mother fucker" ?

 

[Infanteer]

The chef's kiss is Falcon booted Rusted from his party....karma works in funny ways.

 

[Maxman1]

Wasn't that "Yippy ky yay Mother fucker" ?

There was a TV edit of Die Hard 2 that changed it to "Mr. Falcon", despite nobody in the film going by that name, and dubbed by someone who sounds nothing like Bruce Willis.

 

[Good2Golf]

On his party's website, Rustad says the "changing climate is real, and man is impacting our climate," but it "isn't a crisis," and the party will not engage in "over-taxation, hype, scare tactics" on the issue.

This probably resonates with many BCers who don’t believe that cobalt and nickel will save the planet.

 

[The Bread Guy]

Wow ...

If you like chronologies, here's one

A timeline of how BC United unravelled, less than two months before election

BC United Leader Kevin Falcon has announced the suspension of the Official Opposition's election campaign, throwing support behind the rival B.C. Conservatives.

www.thecanadianpressnews.ca

 

[SeaKingTacco]

That is a pretty fast collapse.

The foundations of the BC Liberals/BC United must have been pretty rotten…

 

[The Bread Guy]

That is a pretty fast collapse.

The foundations of the BC Liberals/BC United must have been pretty rotten…

Certainly not helped by the fortunes of the national franchise ...

 

[SeaKingTacco]

Certainly not helped by the fortunes of the national franchise ...

They aren’t even that closely related, other than a name.

 

[The Bread Guy]

They aren’t even that closely related, other than a name.

If Team Red BC Franchise changed it's name, they must have thought that was enough taint

 

[Maxman1]

They aren’t even that closely related, other than a name.

They were connected until 1987.

The Nova Scotia Liberals are the last remaining provincial branch of the federal Liberal Party.

 

[RangerRay]

If Team Red BC Franchise changed it's name, they must have thought that was enough taint

Part of that was Falcon came from the “Socred” wing of the party that was absorbed in the 90’s. From what I’ve heard, at SFU, he was a member of the Young Socreds while Christy Clark was a member of the Young Liberals there. Their battles were apparently epic. I’m sure the name always grated on him despite being a high profile cabinet minister in Campbell’s government.

 

[The Bread Guy]

Learning all sorts of good stuff here - thanks, all, for sharing!

 

[The Bread Guy]

Some more fodder for discussion - some recent polling from Angus Reid ...

Election 2024: BC NDP, Conservatives in statistical tie as United’s withdrawal leaves one-in-ten undecided -

Eby most likely seen as ‘best premier’, but majorities say B.C. on ‘wrong track’ on housing, opioids crises August 30, 2024 – An unprecedented withdrawal by the official opposition B.C. United mere weeks before the start of a general election campaign has levelled the playing field between the...

angusreid.org

Highlights ...



How it was done ...

The Angus Reid Institute conducted an online survey from Aug. 28 to Aug. 30, 2024 among a representative randomized sample of 1,049 Canadian adults living in British Columbia who are members of Angus Reid Forum. For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding. The survey was self-commissioned and paid for by ARI.

 

[Maxman1]

Have they said how many incumbents from BC United FC will run for reelection as Conservatives?

 

[RangerRay]

Have they said how many incumbents from BC United FC will run for reelection as Conservatives?

I think they are still trying to sort that out in the upcoming edition of The Hunger Games.

 

[brihard]

Have they said how many incumbents from BC United FC will run for reelection as Conservatives?

I think they’re still trying to figure that out. The BCU leader may have overestimated how much power he has to arbitrarily fold the party. They can strip a party label, sure, but that doesn’t take candidates off the ballot. I also don’t know what mechanisms must be used to make his intent officially happen.

 

[The Bread Guy]

... The BCU leader may have overestimated how much power he has to arbitrarily fold the party. They can strip a party label, sure, but that doesn’t take candidates off the ballot. I also don’t know what mechanisms must be used to make his intent officially happen.

Doesn't help when he apparently didn't even consult his caucus - some members apparently found out from media calling them for their reaction.

 

[SeaKingTacco]

Doesn't help when he apparently didn't even consult his caucus - some members apparently found out from media calling them for their reaction.

I’ve seen at least one say they will run as an independent.

 

[RangerRay]

I’m actually kind of surprised that only 3% of past voters of the carbon tax party are going to the Greens.