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Collapse of the Assad Regime

Listened to the Intelligence podcast from the Economist Magazine this morning and they had some interesting details of the fighting.

Apparently the whole thing kicked off with mainly Alawite pro-Assad forces rising in revolt against the new regime. They attacked regime forces in the area as well as anti-Assad civilians and Alawites that refused to join their uprising. Supposedly this included attacks on hospitals. They then ambushed a force from the new regime that was dispatched to the area.

According to the reporter the new regime forces are pretty thinly spread out across the country and have limited control over the various militias that were part of the rebel coalition that overthrew Assad. In response to the pro-Assad uprising there was a general call to arms in Sunni mosques across Syria and various militia, tribal and general civilian mobs rushed to the coastal areas and began fighting the insurgents and then turning on the greater Alawite population to exact revenge.

The interim President, Al-Sharaa has said the massacre will be investigated and those responsible taken to account. With his shaky grip on power and limited influence over many of the armed groups in Syria it's suggested that he'll have a very difficult time holding a coalition government together. If he can't get buy-in from the minority populations (especially the Alawites and Druze) then Syria will quite possibly descend into another ugly civil war.
 
Listened to the Intelligence podcast from the Economist Magazine this morning and they had some interesting details of the fighting.

Apparently the whole thing kicked off with mainly Alawite pro-Assad forces rising in revolt against the new regime. They attacked regime forces in the area as well as anti-Assad civilians and Alawites that refused to join their uprising. Supposedly this included attacks on hospitals. They then ambushed a force from the new regime that was dispatched to the area.

According to the reporter the new regime forces are pretty thinly spread out across the country and have limited control over the various militias that were part of the rebel coalition that overthrew Assad. In response to the pro-Assad uprising there was a general call to arms in Sunni mosques across Syria and various militia, tribal and general civilian mobs rushed to the coastal areas and began fighting the insurgents and then turning on the greater Alawite population to exact revenge.

The interim President, Al-Sharaa has said the massacre will be investigated and those responsible taken to account. With his shaky grip on power and limited influence over many of the armed groups in Syria it's suggested that he'll have a very difficult time holding a coalition government together. If he can't get buy-in from the minority populations (especially the Alawites and Druze) then Syria will quite possibly descend into another ugly civil war.
What would the odds be of Turkish military assistance of some form?
 
What would the odds be of Turkish military assistance of some form?
after the Syrians signed an agreement with the Kurds? Slim at best with Damascas. If Turkey can see a clear opportunity to exercise total control over the border regions and that hasn't happened yet they might try a little annexation. After all, historically they have more right to Syria than China has to Taiwan.
 
after the Syrians signed an agreement with the Kurds? Slim at best with Damascas. If Turkey can see a clear opportunity to exercise total control over the border regions and that hasn't happened yet they might try a little annexation. After all, historically they have more right to Syria than China has to Taiwan.
The Ottoman Empire ver. 2.0
 
Listened to the Intelligence podcast from the Economist Magazine this morning and they had some interesting details of the fighting.

Apparently the whole thing kicked off with mainly Alawite pro-Assad forces rising in revolt against the new regime. They attacked regime forces in the area as well as anti-Assad civilians and Alawites that refused to join their uprising. Supposedly this included attacks on hospitals. They then ambushed a force from the new regime that was dispatched to the area.

According to the reporter the new regime forces are pretty thinly spread out across the country and have limited control over the various militias that were part of the rebel coalition that overthrew Assad. In response to the pro-Assad uprising there was a general call to arms in Sunni mosques across Syria and various militia, tribal and general civilian mobs rushed to the coastal areas and began fighting the insurgents and then turning on the greater Alawite population to exact revenge.

The interim President, Al-Sharaa has said the massacre will be investigated and those responsible taken to account. With his shaky grip on power and limited influence over many of the armed groups in Syria it's suggested that he'll have a very difficult time holding a coalition government together. If he can't get buy-in from the minority populations (especially the Alawites and Druze) then Syria will quite possibly descend into another ugly civil

Turkey would probably be happier with an unstable Syria on their border.
 
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