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U.S. thwarts alleged Iranian government plot

WingsofFury

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Surprised this didn't get picked up by someone...pretty interesting read, right out of a movie.

U.S. thwarts alleged Iranian government plot to assassinate Saudi envoy, bomb embassies

WASHINGTON— From Wednesday's Globe and Mail
Published Tuesday, Oct. 11, 2011 2:20PM EDT
Last updated Wednesday, Oct. 12, 2011 8:08AM EDT

The Obama administration accused elements of Tehran’s Islamic regime of backing a terrorist plot to kill Saudi Arabia’s ambassador to Washington. The accusation signals a major escalation in already-hostile U.S.-Iranian relations.

After a summer-long investigation involving repeated clandestine meetings in Texas and Mexico with Tehran’s operatives, U.S. agents foiled the “murder for hire” with an arrest late last month, officials said.

On Tuesday, Washington publicly labelled Tehran as the backer and paymaster of a planned terrorist attack on U.S. soil. According to senior Obama administration officials, Iranian agents recruited Mexican drug-cartel gangsters to bomb a Washington restaurant while the ambassador dined, unaware that their hired guns were already working for U.S. authorities.

“This conspiracy was conceived, sponsored and directed from Iran and constitutes a flagrant violation of U.S. and international law,” U.S. Attorney-General Eric Holder said. “The United States is committed to holding Iran accountable for its actions,”

Mr. Holder said Manssor Arbabsiar, an Iranian-born U.S. citizen, was in custody in New York after being tailed by U.S. agents on a flight from Mexico. Within hours of his court appearance, local media flooded the street of his home in a well-manicured suburb of Austin, Tex. A neighbour said Mr. Arbabsiar moved in with a woman and they were raising three boys, all of whom have graduated from high school.

His alleged co-conspirator, Gholam Shakuri, described as an operative of Iran’s special forces, remains at large and is believed to be in Iran.

The United States “will be taking further action” Mr. Holder vowed, saying the combination assassination and bombing plot “was directed and approved by elements of the Iranian government, and specifically, senior members of the Quds Force, which is a part of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Iranian military.”

Mr. Arbabsiar was covertly taped by U.S. agents, who asked if his Tehran masters worried whether mass casualties would result from the bombing. “They want that guy done – if a hundred go with him, fuck ’em,” Mr. Arbabsiar replied, according to the criminal complaint released Tuesday. The plotters also mused about follow-on bombings of the Saudi Arabian and Israeli embassies in various capitals and discussed how much plastic explosives would be needed.

Short of war, Washington has few options to further tighten screws on Tehran. Washington has already slapped Iran with tough sanctions – mostly connected to its ambitious, outlawed and not fully disclosed nuclear-enrichment effort, which the United States regards as a clandestine effort to build nuclear warheads. The two nations broke diplomatic relations decades ago.

Iran is locked in a fierce struggle for supremacy with Saudi Arabia. Their rivalry casts complicating shadows on the entire Middle East peace effort.

“Long story short: Iran often conducts rogue operations and promotes those who participate,” said Michael Rubin, a resident scholar at the right-wing American Enterprise Institute. He predicted no “smoking gun” pointing to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei or its unpredictable, hard-line President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Late Tuesday, three high-ranking officers in Iran’s Quds Force were designated for sanctions by the U.S. Treasury Department. Also named were the two indicated conspirators.

The Quds Force, including elite military units, have long been linked to covert overseas operations as well as controlling valuable chunks of Iran’s economy and reporting to the ruling mullahs.

Iran has long been labelled a terrorist-sponsoring nation by successive American governments, but Mr. Holder dodged when asked whether the Obama administration was directly accusing high-ranking Iranian political or religious officials of backing the plot. “We are not making that charge at this point,” he said.

The State Department late Tuesday warned Americans around the world of the potential for terrorist attacks against U.S. interests. It said Iranian-sponsored attacks could include strikes in the United States.

Tehran dismissed the accusations, calling them a “fabrication” and suggesting beleaguered President Barack Obama was trying to divert attention from an economic malaise with “a new propaganda campaign against the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

Iran's parliament speaker, Ali Larijani, called the Justice Department's claims a “childish game.”

“These are cheap claims. By giving it a wide media coverage, it was evident that they are trying to cover up their own problems,” Mr. Larijani told an open session of the parliament Wednesday.

But Secretary of State Hillary Clinton insisted the far-fetched plot was real. “The idea that they would attempt to go to a Mexican drug cartel to solicit murder-for-hire to kill the Saudi ambassador, nobody could make that up, right?” she said.

The actual plot didn’t apparently progress beyond planning. Throughout, those “hired” by the Iranian agents were already on U.S. drug-enforcement payrolls and only posed as assassins and bomb makers. No explosives were purchased, but $100,000 – billed as a down payment on the full $1.5-million agreed for the attack – was transferred.

With a report from Associated Press

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/americas/us-accuses-iran-of-plot-to-assassinate-saudi-ambassador-to-washington/article2197504/
 
And there's already some skeptics out there...

Some analysts skeptical of alleged Iranian plot

By Reza Sayah, CNN
updated 9:55 AM EST, Thu October 13, 2011

Washington (CNN) -- Did an elite branch of Iran's military handpick a divorced, 56-year-old Iranian-American used-car salesman from Texas to hire a hitman from a Mexican drug cartel to assassinate the ambassador to Saudi Arabia by blowing up a bomb in a crowded restaurant in Washington?

U.S. officials say they are certain the bizarre plot against Ambassador Adel Jubeir was real.

But some analysts say they are not. They find it unlikely that the Iranian government, or legitimate factions within, would be involved in such a tangled plot.

They cite five reasons why:

1. The alleged plot doesn't fit Iran's style

In the 32-year history of the Islamic Republic of Iran, its Quds Force -- the branch implicated in the alleged plot -- has never been publicly linked to an assassination plot or an attack on U.S. soil. In cases where Quds Force members have been accused of plotting attacks, they had gone to great lengths to cover their tracks and hire proxy groups of the highest caliber, like the Lebanese Hezbollah.

Hiring an Iranian-American used-car salesman who, according to investigators, openly talked about his connections to the Iranian military and brazenly made a $100,000 wire transfer doesn't fit the Quds Force's modus operandi, analysts say.

"It would be completely uncharacteristic for Iran to be caught red-handed," former CIA operative Bob Baer told CNN.

"There are very few groups operationally better than Iran's Quds Force. They know what they are doing, The only proxies they use are ones they've vetted. They don't let their own citizens get involved."

2. Iran would lose more than it would gain

An assassination plot on U.S. soil would be costly for Iran, analysts say, inviting further sanctions and isolation by the international community, and perhaps military action as well.

"What we've seen unfold makes no sense in terms of Iran's national security strategy," says Hillary Mann Leverett, who was an adviser on Iran in former President George W. Bush's administration.

"There's no benefit; there's no payoff in them pursuing this kind of hit against Adel Jubeir. And it runs contrary to their entire national security strategy."

3. Iran has much easier targets to go after

Iran has potential U.S. and Saudi targets in its own backyard. In fact, Iran's Quds Force is frequently accused of waging proxy wars against U.S. troops in neighboring Iraq and Afghanistan and against Saudi interests in places like Bahrain.

The notion that Iran's potential targets in its own backyard were not enough, and that its Quds Force was therefore compelled to carry out a plot on U.S. soil seems far-fetched, analysts say.

4. Iran is gaining in stature and isn't desperate for drastic measures

Analysts say Iran has emerged as an undeniable power broker in the Middle East due in large part to the U.S.-led elimination of two of its key enemies in the last decade -- Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq and the Afghan Taliban regime in Afghanistan.

Tehran's political and economic sway in the region is greater than ever and it has solidified its role as a critical actor involving nearly all the major issues in the region, including the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the futures of Iraq and Afghanistan, the price of oil and nuclear energy.

Analysts say a seemingly drastic measure like an assassination plot on U.S. soil might perhaps make sense for a country desperate for attention, but not for Iran.

"This would be such a significant departure for the Iranian government to be involved in a plot like this, it really warrants our toughest questions and scrutiny," says Leverett.

5. The alleged plot is full of holes

There seem to be too many unanswered questions at this point to conclude that this plot was conceived by the Iranian government or the leaders of the Quds Force.

Consider the following statements by U.S. officials: When asked if the "upper reaches" of the Iranian government knew about the alleged plot, Attorney General Eric Holder said, "We are not making that charge at this point."

A senior law enforcement official told CNN, "Holder was not alleging that the highest levels officials in Iran were involved."

Another senior U.S. official told CNN, "Given how compartmentalized the Iranians are, it is unclear how wide knowledge of and approval (of the alleged plot) was within the Iranian government."

http://www.cnn.com/2011/10/12/us/analysis-iran-saudi-plot/index.html?hpt=hp_c1
 
FlyingDutchman said:
I cannot help but wonder if someone trying to discredit Iran.

This would be an incredibly stupid course of action, as it would discredit whoever was behind the false accusation. The claim may be the result of errors in the investigation, or it may be based on a false story planted by somebody, perhaps even the Iranians, to make the US government look horribly inept, or . . .
 
FlyingDutchman said:
I cannot help but wonder if someone trying to discredit Iran.

like someone is trying to discredit the US about trying to catch drug lords and suppliers by selling them guns? Sometimes the truth is stranger than fiction.............
 
GAP said:
like someone is trying to discredit the US about trying to catch drug lords and suppliers by selling them guns? Sometimes the truth is stranger than fiction.............
You do raise a good point there.  It just seems like, I don't know, sloppyness on Iran's part.  Of course, it could just be the weak point in the chain.
 
FlyingDutchman said:
I cannot help but wonder if someone trying to discredit Iran.

Domestic and global financial crisis. Citizens starting to ask why the financial elite gets trillion dollar welfare while they become unemployed and lose their homes. The levers of Democratic control out of the hands of citizens and in the hands of media companies, trans-national elites and special interest. The Gulf of Tonkin or WMD's  were one off. America does not engage in that kind of behavior. What kind of a paranoid crackpot would think that now would be a good time for a false flag attack to distract from intractable domestic problems?


 
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