- Reaction score
- 25,345
- Points
- 1,090
I wonder if the LPC HQ is worried about Alberta? With Nenshi declaring he's running for the AB NDP leadership, might he want a larger stage in the future? He's everything the LPC claims to be but isn't.
Surely the LPC brain trust has to be running the down-back up scenarios and numbers to figure out if they keep the albatross around their neck for the next…does some fractional math in head…1/6th of a DECADE…18 months is going to soon be 12 Months, then 6, then 1….
Mainstream’s most recent polling report is out. Ouch! (for Team Red, that is)
It seems that not only is Trudeau looking to convert the LPC into a Political SSK, but the numbers are starting to make the NDP look like a PPC stealer party on steroids…not much Red (or Orange)…
I don’t see how this plays immediately (2025), no matter how well Nenshi does.I wonder if the LPC HQ is worried about Alberta? With Nenshi declaring he's running for the AB NDP leadership, might he want a larger stage in the future? He's everything the LPC claims to be but isn't.
That's my thought; post 2025 as a Federal NDP leader. Hence why LPC would try to destroy him; their philosophy seems to be better CPC than NDP.I don’t see how this plays immediately (2025), no matter how well Nenshi does.
I could see this playing…2026… if Nenshi jumps federal into a LPC that is in tatters. He could run it…except, he is from Alberta and that is a hard mountain to climb in that Party.
Oh, I see.That's my thought; post 2025 as a Federal NDP leader. Hence why LPC would try to destroy him; their philosophy seems to be better CPC than NDP.
unless the NDP tanks as well which is beginning to look increasingly likely unless Singh gets a quicky divorce.Oh, I see.
I thought you were proposing he go LPC, post 2025.
This is intriguing, on a couple of levels. The Singh faction isn’t going to give up control of federal NDP, willingly. Nenshi would have to have a pretty well organized national network to overcome some temple politics.
The current crop of Liberals are (demonstrably) not a bunch of long term thinkers. They are probably less worried about a Nenshi Led NDP in…2029? Than they are about the CPC, today.
But, yeah- Nenshi could shake things up Federally and conceivably consign the LPC to third party status…or worse.
They’ve actually been closing the spread with the LPC and they’re leading LPC strongly West of Kenora…unless the NDP tanks as well which is beginning to look increasingly likely unless Singh gets a quicky divorce.
The risk for the LPC is that, if the NDP reaches a certain tipping point, the entire Progressive vote will flow over to the NDP. Since (arguably) the Manley Liberals have already left the LPC, that leaves…who to vote Liberal besides Montreal Island residents?They’ve actually been closing the spread with the LPC and they’re leading LPC strongly West of Kenora…
Doubtful. I think they are riding this through to 2025.Hope there is a no confidence vote after the Budget next month,
Very real risk for the Grits. There may be a few more Blue Grits hanging in, hoping for Le Dauphin to hand over to Mark Carney, but I think they’ll relent in the coming months. Gotta hand it to Jag-man…BMWs, Rolexes and Gucci bags and he’s still an influencer…I think it’s only a matter weeks before we see an NDP over LPC cross over.The risk for the LPC is that, if the NDP reaches a certain tipping point, the entire Progressive vote will flow over to the NDP. Since (arguably) the Manley Liberals have already left the LPC, that leaves…who to vote Liberal besides Montreal Island residents?
It won’t matter if the LPC-NDP Confidence and supply Arrangement stays intact…it will likely only come about if/when the NDP feels they have a chance to capitalize on the swing of progressives from LPC to NDP and they can become the opposition in an election. They’re not there yet, but if they have folks like Tom Mulcair advising them and they listen, it’s not outside of the realm of the possible.Hope there is a no confidence vote after the Budget next month,
Tom Mulcair has stated he has distanced himself from the party a bitIt won’t matter if the LPC-NDP Confidence and supply Arrangement stays intact…it will likely only come about if/when the NDP feels they have a chance to capitalize on the swing of progressives from LPC to NDP and they can become the opposition in an election. They’re not there yet, but if they have folks like Tom Mulcair advising them and they listen, it’s not outside of the realm of the possible.
Nope. Jags will have some BS about how the Liberals fail but we will "reluctantly" support this budgetHope there is a no confidence vote after the Budget next month,
Like Gerald Butts has, or actually?Tom Mulcair has stated he has distanced himself from the party a bit