I can see a situation where the Liberals win again, possibly with a majority.
The Liberals run a very effective OPPO operation on Pollievre. Lots of material to work with.
Swing voters, sick of Trudeau, but still leery of the Tories, stay home.
Suburban women still not enamoured with Pollievre and stay with Trudeau.
The Tories will only retain a handful of seats they currently hold around Quebec City.
And biggest of all, New Democrats and Greens will be absolutely scared shitless of a Tory government led by Pollievre that they vote en masse for the Liberals. NDP will be completely wiped out. Singh is no Layton. Most people now see that the Green Party is really a Liz May cult.
So unless something changes, between Tru-anon cultists, died-the-wool Liberals (looking at you, Maritimes), suburban women and scared NDP’ers and Greens, I don’t see how the Tories win.