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CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

The view from the West


Alberta is suspicious that Ottawa will slap an export tax on oil and gas to offset economic damage from tariffs, especially in Ontario and Quebec.

But that’s not a popular idea, even among leaders elsewhere. Quebec Premier Francois Legault said any money extracted from Alberta should be returned to Alberta.

There’s always a worry that Ottawa and Ontario are cooking up an anti-West deal. It has happened before, believe me.

But Ontario today is deeply, gravely challenged, far more than any other province.

This explains the near-panic we often sense in Premier Doug Ford. He may call an election as early as next week. On Wednesday, he mildly scolded Smith for not being quite onside.

A desperate man, with good cause.

The funny thing about Ontario is that tariffs built it. Sir John A. MacDonald's National Policy guaranteed that Ontario and Quebec would receive raw materials from the West and ship manufactured goods to the West.

 

Things are looking up. Not break out the champagne up. Not even buy a round of beer up. But still an up. She’s moving the ball down the field.

Smith is scoring points with some of the premiers of this country.

She has not won the day but the situation is better than a few days back when she was being called out for not being a team player and disrupting national unity and idiots were calling her a traitor and actually meaning it.

Smith sees “a growing consensus” on

“The necessity of consulting with and securing consent from individual provinces before cutting off or placing export tariffs on key exports from those provinces.”

The importance of building more pipelines east and west.

More border security. Let’s see the drones and the dogs and the cameras and the boots on the ground and show Trump that Canada finally means business.

There’s beefed-up military spending, living up to commitments made.


Let it be noted the cross-country scolding occurred even though Smith’s view is echoed by many wise sorts, including the esteemed economist Trevor Tombe, who wrote how the Alberta premier was right to push back.

“It’s common for political leaders to say all options are on the table but bad ideas really shouldn’t be,” wrote the man who knows his way around numbers.
 
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