Recent content by Brad Sallows

An interesting feature of that example is that one group of experts (public health), supported by politicians, essentially managed to have all other experts' views (social, educational, economic, etc) declared all but forbidden. There aren't really any polymath experts who are expert in enough...

Eliminate the CON/BCU vote split.

At the link there's a 16.4M download. Is that it? Not particularly large (I'm accustomed to occasionally downloading JDKs).

It's a lot easier to access points of interest in Finnmark simply because of the presence of an ice-free coast and the narrowness of the land between the water's edge and neighbouring borders.

Yes; I see it now and am actually ashamed.

Trump.

If things are going well for us, then the most important uses of the CAF are going to be abroad. Sending people abroad is more cost-effective if they go for long stretches of time. People who want to work in the CAF ought to properly understand this before signing on.

Here. Uttered during a podcast with Marc Elias. Try a quick search before playing green-box-yellow-box-red-box.

The opinion of 10,000 people is also of no value if it is not wholly obtained by only objective reasoning.

If the result is close, sure. I'm really interested to see what happens if he wins a close result. We'd see what happens when principle and expediency collide among the "defenders of democracy".

Exactly so. There is only one CDS, and a vacancy arises approximately once every three years. There are too many possible special characteristics to be acknowledged for any reasonable hope of awarding a useful number of "first this CDS, first that CDS" participation trophies. If the situation...

Except literally Hillary Clinton.

It's correct that projections rely on past results; it's incorrect that past results were the reason for hesitancy. The impact of voting rule changes - mostly in consequence of pandemic mitigation - was so great that no-one could reasonably trust that the predictive models were still valid...

RCP Averages. Trump has been leading in the (relatively meaningless) popular vote averages for weeks, although the amount dropped a while back and looks like it's within margin-of-error. More importantly, he has been consistently leading in 5 - usually 6 - of the 7 battlegrounds, and was even...

Sure. The Democrats have the "Squad". Any guesses what happens if they are the balance of power in a narrowly-divided House with a Democratic speaker?