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  1. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    If the result is close, sure. I'm really interested to see what happens if he wins a close result. We'd see what happens when principle and expediency collide among the "defenders of democracy".
  2. Brad Sallows

    CDS General Eyre announces retirement

    Exactly so. There is only one CDS, and a vacancy arises approximately once every three years. There are too many possible special characteristics to be acknowledged for any reasonable hope of awarding a useful number of "first this CDS, first that CDS" participation trophies. If the situation...
  3. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    Except literally Hillary Clinton.
  4. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    It's correct that projections rely on past results; it's incorrect that past results were the reason for hesitancy. The impact of voting rule changes - mostly in consequence of pandemic mitigation - was so great that no-one could reasonably trust that the predictive models were still valid...
  5. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    RCP Averages. Trump has been leading in the (relatively meaningless) popular vote averages for weeks, although the amount dropped a while back and looks like it's within margin-of-error. More importantly, he has been consistently leading in 5 - usually 6 - of the 7 battlegrounds, and was even...
  6. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    Sure. The Democrats have the "Squad". Any guesses what happens if they are the balance of power in a narrowly-divided House with a Democratic speaker?
  7. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    What does that mean? The presidency, which polls suggest Trump will win unless he is convicted of something? The Senate, for which Republicans have an easy map this year? The House, which polls suggest is too close too call right now? Two of the three? All of them? The two parties are...
  8. Brad Sallows

    Canada to Spend $5.0Bil on AEW Aircraft

    $5B worth of two-seater biplanes with a pair of binoculars for each in the passenger seat?
  9. Brad Sallows

    Trudeau Popularity - or not. Nanos research

    There doesn't have to be a conspiracy. Plenty of "elites" behave like they favour super-national government.
  10. Brad Sallows

    CDS General Eyre announces retirement

    But it's nice flat land. Surely the winds blow the snow elsewhere?
  11. Brad Sallows

    CDS General Eyre announces retirement

    At some point "REMF" assignments with options to WFH should be seen as a balancing mechanism for time spent living austerely outdoors or bucking swells.
  12. Brad Sallows

    Canada to Spend $5.0Bil on AEW Aircraft

    What's the flight time from Edmonton to Whitehorse? Two and a half hours?
  13. Brad Sallows

    The War in Ukraine

    There are very few political ideas that are unique to a particular system, although claiming "X, therefore -ism" is a popular game. It's like concluding you have a particular kind of respiratory virus because you woke up with a sniffle. Most ideologies have commonly accepted shopping lists of...
  14. Brad Sallows

    RCN Carrier models

    A nicely executed model is always a delightful piece of eye candy. Ship models are still my favourite.
  15. Brad Sallows

    Canada to Spend $5.0Bil on AEW Aircraft

    What are they going to be used for? When we send fighters abroad? The parts of the country where we experience ongoing intrusions by unfriendly foreigners?
  16. Brad Sallows

    A Deeply Fractured US

    Just so. There's nothing special about voting for what you really want without having to vote for something you really don't want as part of the package.
  17. Brad Sallows

    CDS General Eyre announces retirement

    Sounds like the same problems the Granville St "pedestrian mall" was supposed to solve in the '70s. The "doom loop" is that stuff people used to go downtown for moves out in dribs and drabs closer to where people live. It's a result of reducing travelling distances for commuting and shopping...
  18. Brad Sallows

    CDS General Eyre announces retirement

    Please to imagine copious laughter. The "argument" raises the question of how the state of affairs can be measured each time another CDS appointment is due, in order to ensure the situation is sufficiently favourable to appoint a woman, until such time as a woman has held the appointment...
  19. Brad Sallows

    Hamas invaded Israel 2023

    I like a lot of latitude for freedom of expression, and don't want to see anyone taken up for that. I like almost as much latitude for protest, subject to not interfering with the rights of others to go where they please and expect to not be physically harmed. These protests are useful: they...
  20. Brad Sallows

    Federal Budget 2024 megathread

    Yes.
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