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Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

Canada says it will look at increasing its defence spending and tacked on 10 more Russian names to an ever growing sanctions list.

By Tonda MacCharles
Ottawa Bureau
Mon., March 7, 2022

Riga, LATVIA—On the 13th day of the brutal Russian bid to claim Ukraine as its own, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is showing up at the Latvian battle group led by Canadian soldiers, waving the Maple Leaf and a vague hint at more money for the military.

Canada has been waving the NATO flag for nearly seven years in Latvia as a bulwark against Russia’s further incursions in Eastern Europe.

Canada stepped up to lead one of NATO’s four battle groups in 2015 — part of the defensive alliance’s display of strength and solidarity with weaker member states after Russia invaded Ukraine and seized the Crimean peninsula in 2014. Trudeau arrived in the Latvian capital late Monday after meetings in the U.K. with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte.

Earlier Monday, faced with a seemingly unstoppable war in Ukraine, Trudeau said he will look at increasing Canada’s defence spending. Given world events, he said there are “certainly reflections to have.”

And Canada tacked on 10 more Russian names to an ever-growing sanctions list.

The latest round of sanctions includes names Trudeau said were identified by jailed Russian opposition leader and Putin nemesis Alexei Navalny.

However, on a day when Trudeau cited the new sanctions, and Johnson touted new measures meant to expose Russian property owners in his country, Rutte admitted sanctions are not working.

Yet they all called for more concerted international efforts over the long haul, including more economic measures and more humanitarian aid, with Johnson and Rutte divided over how quickly countries need to get off Russian oil and gas.

The 10 latest names on Canada’s target list do not include Roman Abramovich — a Russian billionaire Navalny has been flagging to Canada since at least 2017. Canada appears to have sanctioned about 20 of the 35 names on Navalny’s list.

The Conservative opposition says the Liberal government is not yet exerting maximum pressure on Putin, and should do more to bolster Canadian Forces, including by finally approving the purchase of fighter jets.

Foreign affairs critic Michael Chong said in an interview that Ottawa must still sanction “additional oligarchs close to President Putin who have significant assets in Canada.”

Abramovich owns more than a quarter of the public shares in steelmaking giant Evraz, which has operations in Alberta and Saskatchewan and has supplied most of the steel for the government-owned Trans Mountain pipeline project.

Evraz’s board of directors also includes two more Russians the U.S. government identified as “oligarchs” in 2019 — Aleksandr Abramov and Aleksandr Frolov — and its Canadian operations have received significant support from the federal government.

That includes at least $27 million in emergency wage subsidies during the pandemic, as well as $7 million through a fund meant to help heavy-polluters reduce emissions that cause climate change, according to the company’s most recent annual report.

In addition to upping defence spending, the Conservatives want NORAD’s early warning system upgraded, naval shipbuilding ramped up and Arctic security bolstered.

In London, Johnson sat down with Trudeau and Rutte at the Northolt airbase. Their morning meetings had a rushed feel, with Johnson starting to usher press out before Trudeau spoke. His office said later that the British PM couldn’t squeeze the full meeting in at 10 Downing Street because Johnson’s “diary” was so busy that day. The three leaders held an afternoon news conference at 10 Downing.

But before that Trudeau met with the Queen, saying she was “insightful” and they had a “useful, for me anyway, conversation about global affairs.”

Trudeau meets with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg Tuesday in Latvia.

The prime minister will also meet with three Baltic leaders, the prime ministers of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, in the Latvian capital of Riga.

The Liberals announced they would increase the 500 Canadian Forces in Latvia by another 460 troops. The Canadians are leading a multinational battle group, one of four that are part of NATO’s deployments in the region.

Another 3,400 Canadians could be deployed to the region in the months to come, on standby for NATO orders.

But Canada’s shipments of lethal aid to Ukraine were slow to come in the view of the Conservatives, and the Ukrainian Canadian community.

And suddenly Western allies are eyeing each other’s defence commitments.

At the Downing Street news conference, Rutte noted the Netherlands will increase its defence budget to close to two per cent of GDP. Germany has led the G7, and doubled its defence budget in the face of Putin’s invasion and threats. Johnson said the U.K. defence spending is about 2.4 per cent and declined to comment on Canada’s defence spending which is 1.4 per cent of GDP.

But Johnson didn’t hold back.

“What we can’t do, post the invasion of Ukraine is assume that we go back to a kind of status quo ante, a kind of new normalization in the way that we did after the … seizure of Crimea and the Donbas area,” Johnson said. “We’ve got to recognize that things have changed and that we need a new focus on security and I think that that is kind of increasingly understood by everybody.”

Trudeau stood by his British and Dutch counterparts and pledged Canada would do more.

He defended his government’s record, saying Ottawa is gradually increasing spending over the next decade by 70 per cent. Then Trudeau admitted more might be necessary.

“We also recognize that context is changing rapidly around the world and we need to make sure that women and men have certainty and our forces have all the equipment necessary to be able to stand strongly as we always have. As members of NATO. We will continue to look at what more we can do.”

The three leaders — Johnson, a conservative and Trudeau and Rutte, progressive liberals — in a joint statement said they “will continue to impose severe costs on Russia.”

Arriving for the news conference from Windsor Castle, Trudeau had to detour to enter Downing Street as loud so-called Freedom Convoy protesters bellowed from outside the gate. They carried signs marked “Tuck Frudeau” and “Free Tamara” (Lich).

Protester Jeff Wyatt who said he has no Canadian ties told the Star he came to stand up for Lich and others who were leading a “peaceful protest” worldwide against government “lies” about COVID-19 and what he called Trudeau’s “tyranny.”

Elsewhere in London, outside the Russian embassy, other protesters and passersby reflected on what they said was real tyranny — the Russian attack on Ukraine. “I think we should be as tough as possible to get this stopped, as tough as possible,” said protester Clive Martinez.
 
Don’t worry Kev, I’m sure the next Light Force Working Group will get it all sorted and CCA will embrace and implement the LFWG’s recommendations.
Sarcastic Emma Stone GIF
 
Admittedly I was impressed you could type that without keeling over laughing.
I was remembering back to my first LFWG as a starry-eyed young captain, when an imminent solution was just around the corner… 😆
 
A lot of line serials start outside the rifle squad in OJT positions. A Sniper Det for instance is one area where the US Army doesn’t have a deep pool of experience.
I would have thought between Iraq being what it was, and the mountainous areas of the Korengal Valley, Arangrab Valley, Khost, etc of Afghanistan that the US Army would have a fairly large pool of sniper qualified guys w/ deployment experience...

Huh. Some things just surprise me.
 
I would have thought between Iraq being what it was, and the mountainous areas of the Korengal Valley, Arangrab Valley, Khost, etc of Afghanistan that the US Army would have a fairly large pool of sniper qualified guys w/ deployment experience...

Huh. Some things just surprise me.
That’s assuming they stayed in the US Army.
 
That’s assuming they stayed in the US Army.
Very true

I had just assumed (I know, I know...bad CBH!!) that given the sheer numbers of troops deployed to Iraq & Afghanistan, and the number of guys who were either sniper qualified and part of a sniper det, or guys who didn't necessarily get sniper qualified but learned via OJT, that their depth of guys with operational experience would be decently large


Like I said, sometimes it's just surprising to hear things 🤷🏼‍♂️
 
I saw that article about the weapons purchase. That really did not tell me how many MQ-9Bs we are buying.
Yeah little info on the number of drones. I’m hoping in the 30 range to allow for two Sqns conducting continuous operations east and west. I know we can’t replace everything with UAV but it sure seems like a lot of maritime patrol could be automated. I guess sesnsor suite capability becomes the limiter there.
 
If we want to guess numbers the 12 AN/APY-8 Lynx SAR requested is a good indicator.
A guess of 8-12 MQ-9Bs is reasonably plausible and is line with numbers operated by others such as France and the UK.
 
If we want to guess numbers the 12 AN/APY-8 Lynx SAR requested is a good indicator.
A guess of 8-12 MQ-9Bs is reasonably plausible and is line with numbers operated by others such as France and the UK.
I just hope they come quick enough I can get a live 114 off one lol
 
I just hope they come quick enough I can get a live 114 off one lol
Unless we're actually doing the opposite of our usual "equipped for but not with" procurement practice. We've purchased the munitions but won't end up getting the platform!

Think About It GIF by Identity
 
If we want to guess numbers the 12 AN/APY-8 Lynx SAR requested is a good indicator.
A guess of 8-12 MQ-9Bs is reasonably plausible and is line with numbers operated by others such as France and the UK.
Is it a bolt-on kit though?

i.e. We get 12 SAR, but we rotate them around (a higher or lower) number of aircraft.

FYI the UK is looking up to 16 MQ-9B, in addition to the 10 MQ-9A.

 
Is it a bolt-on kit though?

i.e. We get 12 SAR, but we rotate them around (a higher or lower) number of aircraft.
My guess, based on the radar buy, is that it indicates a buy of 10-12 airframes. But that is just a guess.

I dimly remember reading once how many Lines of Tasking the fleet was supposed to be able to sustain per day, but don’t recall the details and even if I did, if it was publically releasable.
 
Interesting new reporting about the much anticipated Defence Review which was announced 18 months ago


With regards to the defence review, Mr. Blair said:
  • it is a priority and is being staffed along with the Dept of Finance
  • important decisions must be made beforehand
  • will work towards increasing defence spending towards 2% of GDP
  • not just about spending money but investing in the right things and investing in pers
  • working in a challenging economic environment
  • needs significant investment in platforms such as: planes, helicopters and submarines

As mentioned before, I believe that there will be no cuts in the defence budget, but no significant increases in baseline funding. There will be incremental increases in defence spending. The gov't will continue to procure the wpns platforms that they deem necessary but:
  • not in the numbers required
  • will be stretched over a considerable number of years
  • decision regarding submarine replacement will be delayed until the next election

Cheers
 
Interesting new reporting about the much anticipated Defence Review which was announced 18 months ago


With regards to the defence review, Mr. Blair said:
  • it is a priority and is being staffed along with the Dept of Finance
  • important decisions must be made beforehand
  • will work towards increasing defence spending towards 2% of GDP
  • not just about spending money but investing in the right things and investing in pers
  • working in a challenging economic environment
  • needs significant investment in platforms such as: planes, helicopters and submarines

As mentioned before, I believe that there will be no cuts in the defence budget, but no significant increases in baseline funding. There will be incremental increases in defence spending. The gov't will continue to procure the wpns platforms that they deem necessary but:
  • not in the numbers required
  • will be stretched over a considerable number of years
  • decision regarding submarine replacement will be delayed until the next election

Cheers
With the way and amount of money being thrown at Ukraine I wouldn't surprised if nearly all new spending is deferred until the next election as theres enough money going out the door that can be labeled as defence spending that it might look like an effort to up the numbers.
 
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