Brad Sallows
Army.ca Legend
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There are only 330 million people of all ages in the US. So of the 270 million vehicles a good chunk of them are not daily drivers unless people are riding them 2 at a time like roller skates.
Which applies to the EV fleet as well.
But, there are too many "ifs" involved. Everyone chooses the rosy assumptions. Few will have any idea what's going to happen until EV fleet expansion runs into the obstructionism of anti-energy activists. Since it's easier to create demand (build cars and appliances) than supply (new plants), I suppose there will not be a predictable trend indefinitely; everything will look fine until demand crosses supply and continues rising while people look down the black hole of figuring out how to slow demand growth for the several years it takes to get new supply online.