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  1. Fabius

    Trudeau Popularity - or not. Nanos research

    The problem with that list and the entire argument in my opinion is the belief that if each individual item on that list is good for a Canadian then the entire list in totality is good for all Canadians in aggregate. I am not convinced of that being in anyway,shape or form true. In fact I...
  2. Fabius

    Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

    I have always understood combined as meaning two or more nations but whether a combat command focused on the defence on North America with the existing NORAD as it’s inspiration is bilateral or combined is largely an academic question. Either way it would be a unified command with both Canadian...
  3. Fabius

    Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

    Not in the thankfully defunct Canada Command but very much so in NORAD.
  4. Fabius

    Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

    I guess a question that should be answered though is what does a joint HQ like CJOC do in the case of the CAF. Sandwiched between the SJS and the various deployed Op HQs what function does it do? Do we expect it to command joint forces in combat like a U.S. Combatant Command? Even many of...
  5. Fabius

    Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

    I’m of the opinion as well that we need a joint command to actually synchronize our overall environments. Right now CJOC is not that but it could be. I would argue though that we need two joint commands. I would suggest that Canada needs to get on board with combining NORTHCOM into NORAD and...
  6. Fabius

    Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

    It’s interesting though that the increased support for defence spending noticeably faltered when those polled in one one poll were asked if defence should trump other priorities. It remains highly probable that Canadians will still prioritize domestic policies outside of the constitutional...
  7. Fabius

    Ricks Napkin Forces Challenge Part 2 BIG Numbers

    It could work in a pinch to use the Sustainment Bde and Engineer Bde from a combat division but I am not sure ultimately if those formations would have the right mix of equipment, skills and capabilities required for theatre sustainment. This is a very good read about how the US Army managed...
  8. Fabius

    Ricks Napkin Forces Challenge Part 2 BIG Numbers

    A key deficiency in the ORBATs offered I think is the lack of theatre sustainment forces. If we want to sustain a Div in combat we will likely need to have a Bde size theatre sustainment command with elements to open and run a SPOD, an APOD and then move fuel, ammunition, food, spares etc...
  9. Fabius

    UOR new equipment

    Yes, I know. I’m merely assuming that Spike and Javelin are likely roughly comparable in cost. Hence the comparison of our 32.2 to 75 Million USD as a very rough but probable guess of what our UOR contract will contain in terms of firing posts, missile numbers, etc. I was unclear in...
  10. Fabius

    UOR new equipment

    This is a couple months ago now but Canada did announce the winner of the ATGM UOR. Minister Blair announces measures to strengthen Canada’s military presence in Latvia The announcement doesn’t go into details but it is a 32.2 Million USD contract. Here the US State Department published a...
  11. Fabius

    Hamas invaded Israel 2023

    What is the actual least worse outcome? I think most states follow something similar to Canada’s position. "Canada recognizes the Palestinian right to self-determination and supports the creation of a sovereign, independent, viable, democratic and territorially contiguous Palestinian state...
  12. Fabius

    Hamas invaded Israel 2023

    Israel is obviously involved in the solution but I agree that they can’t solve it in any context nominally permissible in today’s society. The Palestinians need to want to solve it and need to want to make a two state system work. I don’t think it’s credible to argue that the Palestinians have...
  13. Fabius

    Hamas invaded Israel 2023

    Completely aside from Israel and Hamas, the entire course of human history does not support rightness, wrongness, legal or illegal territorial transfers. The last 80-100 years have only done a marginal job of convincing the entire human race that seizing ground by force is illegal according to...
  14. Fabius

    CAN Enhanced (Permanent?) Fwd Presence in Latvia

    Updated information is now available. https://www.janes.com/defence-news/land-forces/latest/sweden-plans-to-contribute-to-natos-forward-presence-in-latvia Note that this Swedish force will not be an additional Bn for the Bde but rather will be a 6 month rotation of forces into the previously...
  15. Fabius

    Infantry Vehicles

    Here are a couple pictures showing the current weapons outfit and configuration of 3 RCRs MRZRs. https://m.facebook.com/photo.php/?photo_id=670108938617263 https://m.facebook.com/photo.php/?photo_id=670108948617262
  16. Fabius

    Army has too many infantry, armor lieutenants, asks some to switch to combat-support jobs

    I am assuming that you mean that those who fail Infantry or Armour DP1.1 and then choose a different trade. I agree that in the not so distant past that was the case with a failure rate of over 50% but with the drive in the last several years to reduce that failure rate to less than 10% what...
  17. Fabius

    Hamas invaded Israel 2023

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/israel-gaza-genocide-international-court-justice-hague-south-africa-1.7084682 As a post national state, Canada will not make a decision for itself but will let a UN body decide for it. I suspect that Trudeau will back whatever the ICJ says and say it’s not up...
  18. Fabius

    Hamas invaded Israel 2023

    I will reserve judgment on that until after the next federal election.
  19. Fabius

    Logistic Vehicle Modernization Project - Replacing everything from LUVW to SHLVW

    Given the project is only looking at 96 armoured kits, my guess is that any thing above a Battle Group size deployment will have a significant amount of non armoured vehicles around. Anti Taliban force design indeed.
  20. Fabius

    Logistic Vehicle Modernization Project - Replacing everything from LUVW to SHLVW

    Interesting that the CAF specifically stated that it’s not a one for one replacement as modular packages will allow for less vehicles.
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