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  1. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    Slices of time isn't the way to do it. Maybe try plotting the positions of all the presidents and presidential candidates and senior Congress positions (majority/minority leader, etc)? I suspect you'll get closer to 99%. Turning everything on its head because of one outlier is pretty much...
  2. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    We've enjoyed good enough relations with the US going back into the early part of the last century. We didn't always have a FTA. We didn't always have NATO. The point is to pay attention when people speak. Are they saying "the US" and "Americans", or are they putting the blame squarely on...
  3. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    What is Trumpism? Immigration enforcement? Common public order? A conservative skepticism of interventionism as compared to the adventurism and irrational expectations of neocons that all you have to do is overthrow dictators and democracy will flourish? Fiscal prudence? Constitutional...
  4. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    Any country under pressure is liable to break agreements, interfere, or ignore selected rules. The pressure doesn't have to be trade-related. I cannot emphasize enough that the US is probably not more untrustworthy than it historically has been; all of this stems from Trump. It's prudent to...
  5. Brad Sallows

    Trump administration 2024-2028

    See here. Presidents have been (arguably) misusing emergency declaration powers since the 1976 act was passed. It's a known problem; there are articles out there by people arguing for reform. A guest on a news show recently emphasized that all you need to produce an EO is "a piece of paper...
  6. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    A common theme of conservatives regardless of sub-faction used to be trade liberalization. Liquor sales isn't really a core or even a fringe government responsibility. Obviously tariffs and contract abrogation aren't examples of liberalization. I reiterate that the best principle to follow...
  7. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    Trying to figure out why so many people (Canadian politicians and reporters) keep talking about Trump's tariffs causing price increases for Canadians. Trump's import tariffs will increase prices for Americans. The way prices increase for Canadians is if we're stupid enough to put import...
  8. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    The House impeaches; the Senate tries the case. Impeachment is unlikely without control of the House. Conviction is unlikely without the required supermajority (67 votes).
  9. Brad Sallows

    Trump administration 2024-2028

    The opposing party doesn't have a veto-proof majority in both bodies. If Democrats won't join Republicans to curb Democratic presidential overreach, no-one should expect Republicans to reciprocate.
  10. Brad Sallows

    Political impacts of Ukraine war

    I wouldn't credit West Wing writers with much insight, and would credit them with writing to polish the image of Democrats. The original neo-conservatives were Democrats for whom the party was insufficiently interventionist.
  11. Brad Sallows

    Gene Hackman 1930 - 2025

    Except there were two other dogs in the household, and the doggy door apparently was properly functional.
  12. Brad Sallows

    Political impacts of Ukraine war

    If they're mainly using fires to support ground elements on foot, the AFV count isn't as relevant.
  13. Brad Sallows

    Political impacts of Ukraine war

    Understanding the past is a prerequisite for understanding the present. The point of the past events I cited is to illustrate that the approximate Democratic (and thus US) position used to be one of accommodation towards Russia, willingness to work with Putin, and no particular fondness for...
  14. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    Everyone uses that UBI as if it means something. If the LCBO didn't exist, we could look at a useful measure, such as where ON ranks against entire comparable political jurisdictions.
  15. Brad Sallows

    Political impacts of Ukraine war

    Perhaps they will return to being on the same good terms as when the US helped to disarm Ukraine, scotched plans for deploying missile defences in Poland and the Czech republic, and declined to interfere with the annexation of Crimea. Certain politicians have asked for and offered back more...
  16. Brad Sallows

    CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)

    Almost all sources I've ever found refer to a $500 million penalty. That source doesn't clarify whether the amount was the entire payment or a final payment of a larger amount. It's possible a lesser penalty was negotiated, but that doesn't change the fact that Chretien triggered the penalty...
  17. Brad Sallows

    Political impacts of Ukraine war

    "Probably not" is the likely answer to both. Extrapolations are risky, particularly in wartime. Things have a way of happening "slowly at first, and then all at once". A sudden partial collapse on either side would change everything.
  18. Brad Sallows

    Trump administration 2024-2028

    Soleimani was killed by a US drone strike. Are you thinking of someone else?
  19. Brad Sallows

    Political impacts of Ukraine war

    I didn't read anything in that about mutual defence commitments or other characteristics of an alliance. Perhaps I missed something, and you could point it out.
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