Very unusual to see an aircraft enter into a flat spin like that during the enroute to arrival portion of a flight. The third picture in particular indicates some crazy aircraft motion just prior to the crash (grey line is the projected path direct to SP Aprt).
Watching the video, the only thing I can think of is that the aircraft was badly out of CG (too much cargo aft?); it stalled somehow and there was no getting the nose down…
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